Market participants have seen
extreme volatility in Indian capital markets. There have been many incidents
both global and domestic which have led to a fall in the indices. At this
point, we are facing a Nationwide Contagion Effect.
Some of the factors contributing
to the market turbulence are as follows
- US-China Trade War
- NBFC Crisis following the IL&FS fiasco in domestic market
- Prolonged slowdown in critical sectors of the economy like Auto and Realty
- Asset quality issues, NPA’s which haunt Public Sector Banks
- Corporate governance issues, Audit failures and credit rating agencies failure to red flag critical issues
In this era of VUCA – Volatility,
Uncertainty, Complexity and Ambiguity, our main focus is on risk mitigation and
protection of principal. Return Of Capital rather than Return On Capital is the
underlying motive. We will be exposed to Market Risk at all times, however
Individual Company Risk can be Mitigated by Diversification & Asset
Allocation.
The two main traditional assets
are Debt and Equity. The asset classes are evaluated with respect to liquidity,
safety, yield, image, appreciation and growth. Equity asset class is high risk
high reward where there is possibility of high appreciation. In the case of
debt returns are stable and tend to be lower with high degree of safety
A proper Asset Allocation based on
the clients Risk profile is the most suitable and apt method.
Our Aim is to allocate risk to
different Instruments / Assets.
Based on our research, The
following Data shows us how diversification and Strategic Asset Allocation
would have benefited the client. (All data shown below are as on 30 October 2019)
Market
has shown a positive trend in the recent Months. There have been many positive
aspects as well like Reduction in tax rates for Corporate Firms (22% for
Domestic Companies & 15% for new manufacturing companies).The central bank
cut the repo rate by 25 bps to 5.15% and
the reverse repo by 25 bps to 4.90% (100 bps = 1 per cent).
Based
on this Allocation, the Investor has managed to diversify his risk to different
categories of Asset Classes. There is equal Allocation to each Asset Class.
Based
on this Allocation, The investor has been aggressive and is willing to
withstand the Risk of Market Volatility. He has been able to generate Positive
returns in all Periods.
Gold
acts as a Hedge during Uncertain events. Gold has a negative Correlation with
the traditional Asset Classes (Debt & Equity).The demand
for gold increases during inflationary times due to its inherent
value and limited supply.
Increased
Allocation towards Debt helps the Investor earn Stable Return as compared to
Equity & Gold. Returns maybe lower due to lower Returns.
Conclusion:
Asset Allocation is Important for every Individual. Market Risk & Business
Risk is something which every Investor goes through. Thus our main aim is
Capital Protection and Risk Aversion. During Volatile Periods like now, we fear
about Capital Erosion. Thus a hedge can be done via investing in different
Asset Classes with low Correlation with each Other.
Latin Manharlal Group