India, Asia’s third biggest economy is holding its head
above water during a shaky time in the global economy. While India has also
succumbed to a global markets rout, the country’s strong fundamentals will
ensure that it will emerge strongly from this temporary setback.
Why the global economy rout isn’t a big worry for
India?
The ongoing rout in the global stocks and deepening
economic crisis in China has engulfed Indian benchmark indices, leaving Dalal
Street shaken with the Sensex falling off the 26K cliff, shedding more than 5
per cent in August and the rupee hitting a two-year low, falling to 66.74
per dollar amid China’s currency stunner.
A crash in global commodity prices amid China's move to
devalue its currency, coupled with fears surrounding US policy tightening has
created havoc in the global financial markets.
However, the impact of the ongoing global financial
turbulence on India is expected to be only short-term & restricted to exchange
rate volatility and stock market movement.
The country’s strong fundamentals, depicted by recent
economic indicators, back up the strengthening growth story of Asia’s third
biggest economy. India’s retail inflation cooled to
a record low at 3.78 per cent in July, coupled with industrial output growth
which quickened to 3.8 per cent in June 2015, year on year from 2.5 per cent in
May 2015, along with a combined gauge of manufacturing & services
rebounding into expansion terrain in July, while car sales soared 17 per cent
in July.
In a nutshell, India is better placed to deal with the global
shock-waves, amid the government’s strong reform commitment and prospects of
further rate cuts with inflation under permissible limits, despite heightened
global uncertainty.
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