Even amidst heightened volatility in global financial markets and
deepening economic crisis in China, India which has rightly claimed the honour
of becoming the worlds’ fastest growing major economy remains the best bet for
investors among emerging markets. Let’s see how?
Is India’s investment landscape more
appealing than its BRICS peers?
Despite slightly succumbing to a global rout amidst fears over
China’s economy, India seems to remain a stand-alone portfolio bet for emerging
markets investors and fund managers. India’s sound economic fundamentals backed
by strong reforms commitment by the investment-friendly Modi government,
contrasts with that of China’s economy that grew at its slowest pace since the
global financial crisis in the third quarter, while peers Brazil and Russia are
on the edge of a catastrophic recession amid an oil price slump & political
jitters.
Oil price slump: A boon for Indian economy
The downturn in oil prices has come as a blessing in disguise for
Asia’s third biggest economy which imports nearly 70 per cent of its oil needs.
However, the crude turmoil has pushed oil-driven Russia and Brazil on the cusp
of a recession.
Given that oil is India’s largest import item, a reduced oil
import bill has narrowed India’s fiscal and current account deficits while
pushing inflation well below the targeted 6 per cent, allowing room for the
Reserve bank of India for further rate cuts to revive the investment growth
cycle.
From 8.8 per cent in January 2014 and 7.31 per cent in June 2014,
India’s consumer inflation has plunged to 4.41 per cent in September 2015,
luring the investors to park their funds in Indian markets.
India’s improving investment scenario has gained
momentum in comparison with the gloomy outlook of its BRICS peers. At the time,
when sanction-hit Russia is witnessing a capital flight, while FDI prospects in
Brazil is also moving in opposite direction and China growth plummeting to the
weakest rate since the global financial crisis of 2009, India’s investment
climate remains apt amid the much campaigned ‘Make in India’ reform & hikes
in FDI caps in sectors such as defence & insurance, coupled with investor
friendly tax regimes.
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